AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Tips – 8th February 2018
Last week’s event on the PGA Tour, the Waste Management Phoenix Open, is the rowdiest in all of golf. It’s a big gear shift this week then as a selection of the world’s best golfers head to the Californian coast for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Links Form Important by the Coast
As well as two rounds at Pebble Beach Golf Links, five-time host of the U.S. Open, the professionals and their amateur partners will play a round each at Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula.
Playing three different courses provides its own challenges but there are a few important aspects worth bearing in mind when it comes to picking some bets for the coming week.
The first thing to note is the size of the greens at Pebble Beach. They’re as small as you’ll find anywhere on the PGA Tour and when you couple it with a length of just over 6,800 yards you see why top class approach play is so important at Pebble.
The greens are bigger at the tree-lined Spyglass Hill and bigger still at Monterey Peninsula but the importance of quality iron play holds up.
What is most important though, is the ability to play links golf.
While Pebble Beach and Monterey are the two true links courses, many of the challenges of links golf are replicated at Spyglass Hill. Most notably, the effects of the coastal wind.
Scoring is significantly tougher on each course when the wind blows. Therefore, backing players who have a proven ability to control their ball flight in the wind and those who have top class short games is the way to tackle this event.
Rahm the Pick of the Favourites
Vaughan Taylor shocked punters and delighted the bookies in 2016. A 300/1 shot, Taylor managed to hold his nerve for a surprise win but he is something of a recent anomaly.
The cream generally rises to the top in the Pebble Beach Pro-Am with Jordan Spieth, Brandt Snedeker (twice), Jimmy Walker and Dustin Johnson (twice) winning in the last 10 years. Additionally, Phil Mickelson has won the event four times.
We have plenty of high calibre players at the top of the betting this week and of them all it’s Jon Rahm who looks the value best at 11/1 with Betfred.
The Spaniard’s recent form is incredible. He’s played wonderful golf at all manner of different tracks but his chances are based on more than his form.but his chances are based on more than his form.
Rahm has proven links pedigree having won the Irish Open at Portstewart and he’s also won on the sort of Poa Annua greens that are in use at Pebble Beach.
The odd wide off the tee won’t hurt Rahm this week and providing his putter stays hot, he could well outclass the field at a tempting price.
Where Does the Each-Way Value Lie?
Branden Grace is making his debut at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am but don’t let that put you off backing him each-way at 40/1 with Ladbrokes.
The South African has tremendous links form thanks to his naturally low ball flight and world class short game.
Grace won the European Tour’s equivalent of this tournament, the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, in 2012 and has two wins in the desert winds in Qatar.
He’ll enjoy the courses and the pro-am atmosphere so make sure to get Grace on board.
Graeme McDowell is another who player who will enjoy himself this week.
Pebble Beach will always be a special place for the Northern Irishman as it was the host venue for his only major championship win to date in 2010.
He’s spoken at length about putting the work in to get back to somewhere near the top of the game but in truth, these sort of short courses are the only places where McDowell can compete against the big hitters.
At 150/1 with 888Sport, McDowell could be worth a small each-way play.