Betfred Classic Chase Betting Tips – 13th January 2018
ITV Racing has some quality action in store for us this weekend. As well as an exciting card at Kempton there is also plenty to get your teeth stuck into at Warwick where the feature race is the Betfred Classic Chase.
This Grade 3 steeplechase is an absolute brute at around three and-a-half miles and with soft conditions expected the winner will need an incredible amount of stamina.
The betting suggests we have plenty of potential winners so let’s try and find the best value bets from the Classic Chase.
Past Five Winners
2017 – One For Arthur, aged 8, ridden by Derek Fox, trained by Lucinda Russell
2016 – Russe Blanc, aged 9, ridden by Charlie Poste, trained by Kerry Lee
2015 – Hawkes Point, aged 10, ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies, trained by Paul Nicholls
2014 – Shotgun Paddy, aged 7, ridden by Leighton Aspell, trained by Emma Lavelle
2013 – Rigadin de Beauchene, aged 8, ridden by Robbie Dunne, trained by Venetia Williams
Experience the Key in This Stepping Stone to the Grand National
The Betfred Classic Chase is one of many races at this time of year that get punters excited about the Grand National. It certainly proved a great indicator last year as One For Arthur, went on to win the big one at Aintree just a few months after winning at Warwick.
As you’d expect for what is essentially a Grand National trial, it takes masses of stamina, top class jumping ability and a certain amount of experience to win the Classic Chase.
It is, therefore, no surprise that the last five winners were all at least seven. In fact, Colonel Christy (winner in 1981) is the only six-year-old winner in the Classic Chase’s history.
In terms of the specific experience required, all but one of the last 12 winners had won a chase of at least three miles.
Stamina is a prerequisite and so is fitness. Every winner in the last 15 years had at least one warm up race in the six weeks leading up to the Classic Chase.
Finding the Value in This Tough Betting Puzzle
There has only been one winning favourite of the Classic Chase in the last 15 years and the vast majority of recent winners were outside the top three in the betting.
That suggests that picking a winner is tough but it also means that the search for value can pay off nicely. Could Carole’s Destrier be the one to secure a healthy profit for us?
Neil Mulholland’s 10-year-old has only made one appearance in the last year but he travelled well enough at Newbury last month in what was basically an exercise in blowing away the cobwebs.
At his best, Carole’s Disaster should be capable of competing off a mark of 154. We think that the 14/1 888Sport are quoting is a good price about him returning to his best on the sort of soft ground that he’s thrived on previously even if an each-way bet is the best option.
GoodtoKnow Gearing Up for Another Grand National Attempt?
When GoodtoKnow was beaten into second place at last year’s Betfred Classic Chase, trainer, Kerry Lee, believed that he’d shown enough to have a crack at the Grand National.
The gelding was duly entered into the Aintree spectacular and secured a respectable finish of 13th even though he was viewed as an outsider at a general 66/1.
It’s been a tough return to action since then as GoodtoKnow unseated his rider in Wincanton before being pulled up after a mistake at Aintree last time out.
Connections remain confident that he can overcome those jumping hiccups to challenge for the Grand National again. The Classic Chase is, therefore, a very important race for GoodtoKnow and we think he’s got what it takes to roar back to form at 14/1 with William Hill.