Burnley v Man City Betting Tips – 3rd February 2018
For most Premier League clubs, playing Man City twice in one season is tough enough. The Citizens continue to run away with the title, blowing away the competition almost every week so spare a thought for Burnley.
The Clarets were well beaten 3-0 by Man City when they travelled to the Etihad in the Premier League and then let a lead slip to lose 4-1 in the FA Cup third round.
While the Burnley fans won’t be feeling overly confident ahead of their team’s third meeting with Man City, Sean Dyche won’t allow his players to feel sorry for themselves.
Dyche has overseen some highly impressive wins at Turf Moor since guiding Burnley to the Premier League and, along with his backroom team, he’ll have a rock solid plan to deal with a side many believe are the best in Europe.
Man City the Fairest of Favourites
Burnley’s form has tailed off a little of late. That’s nothing too much for the club to worry about as the Clarets were clearly punching above their weight in the first half of the season.
Dyche has done wonderfully well to steer Burnley away from relegation trouble in a season where the whole bottom half looks set to be embroiled in the relegation battle well into April.
Still, Dyche will be concerned with a run of eight games without a win. Unfortunately, nobody really expects Burnley to turn things around against Man City.
Pep Guardiola’s men recovered from their first league defeat of the season by picking up three comfortable wins the league and cup.
The addition of Aymeric Laporte in defence has further strengthened Man City at the back while they continue to score goals almost at will.
There’s little value betting on Man City to beat Burnley at a general 2/7 but backing them with a -1 goal handicap is certainly tempting at 5/6 with Ladbrokes.
Tough Tackling to be Punished
Man City are playing well but it’s not as if Guardiola’s had nothing to complain about lately.
Having witnessed some shocking tackles on his players in recent weeks, the Man City manager has told the Premier League that referees must start protecting players.
City are without Leroy Sané for the foreseeable future with ankle ligament damage following a shocking challenge from Cardiff’s Joe Bennett. While nobody wants to see players injured, there’s a chance that other teams will view Guardiola’s complaints as sign of weakness.
The idea that the best teams ‘don’t like it up them’ has floated around English football for decades and we’re likely to see some more robust challenges from the Burnley players as they look to impose themselves on their illustrious opponents.
That makes a bet on Burnley being shown four or more cards looks well priced at 5/1 with William Hill.
With the absence of Steven Defour for an extended period of time, Jack Cork will have to do more work in the Burnley midfield.
Cork has been a revelation this season but the combination of fatigue, tricky Man City players and a physical approach might just get him to miss time a tackle or two on Saturday.
To capitalise on that, take the 28/1 that Unibet are quoting on Cork being shown a red card.
De Bruyne to Pop Up with Another Important Goal
Pep Guardiola has a habit of withdrawing Kevin De Bruyne from matches when Man City are in a commanding position.
Most of the time, it’s the work of De Bruyne that has allowed Man City to take the lead and so it could prove to be at Turf Moor.
The Belgian is best known for his incredibly array of passing but he’s been more than useful from a goalscoring standpoint with six league goals. De Bruyne could be the man to make the early difference again by scoring first at 13/2 with Boylesports.