Cheltenham Day 4 Betting Tips – 16th March 2018
The Cheltenham Festival is brought to a close with yet another top class day of racing on Friday. Day four of the Festival is headlined by the Gold Cup but there’s more than one route to profit so we’ve previewed the three biggest races for you below.
JCB Triumph Hurdle
In terms of competitiveness, the JCB Triumph Hurdle could prove to be the best race of the final day at Cheltenham 2018.
Any one of about seven horses have a genuine chance of winning this Grade 1 open to four-year-olds only and yet, somewhat paradoxically, we have a very fair favourite in Apple’s Shakira.
Nicky Henderson’s filly has made just three appearances to date in Britain but each of them ended in victory and each of them took place at Cheltenham (she did also race as a two-year-old in France).
The atmosphere at the Festival will be very different but there is no reason to suggest that the result will be any different, especially given the 7lb allowance for fillies.
Some will be put off by the quality of the competition but that’s only inflated Apple’s Shakira’s price to 5/2 with William Hill.
That said, it could well be worth having another option just in case. In that regard, We Have A Dream looks a solid each-way prospect at 11/1 with Boylesports.
He’s won on going ranging from good to heavy so conditions won’t be an issue and he’s got the better of big fields before so 11/1 does look a generous price.
Albert Bartlett Hurdle
Long distance hurdling is one of the real specialisms in National Hunt racing. It’s a division which has produced many heroes over the years and the Albert Bartlett Hurdle has proven to be the breeding ground for some very good stayers’ over the years.
Bobs Worth won this three mile hurdle before going on to Gold Cup glory and punters will be on the lookout for another potential star of the future on Friday.
Chef Des Obeaux and Santini are the two horses battling for favouritism but neither of them has really done enough to show that they have the grit to fight their way to success in the Albert Bartlett.
There are no such concerns surrounding Calett Mad.
Nigel Twiston-Davies sent his charge chasing last season with limited success. The trainer switched his plans up this year which means that while Calett Mad is still a novice hurdler, he has much more experience than most of those he’s facing on Friday.
Poetic Rhythm is another with plenty of experience but we favour Calett Mad’s chances, especially at 16/1 with Winner.
Cheltenham Gold Cup
The Gold Cup is not only the biggest race of the Cheltenham Festival it’s also the blue riband event of the entire National Hunt season.
It’s the prize that every single trainer, jockey and owner wants to win and some of the very best horses of all time (Kauto Star, Best Mate, Desert Orchid and L’Escargot to name just a few) claimed Gold Cup success during their careers.
Six months ago, the 2018 Gold Cup was shaping up to be a thriller so it’s a shame to see some of the leading contenders pull out. Friday’s renewal may not be the highest quality Gold Cup of all time but it’s far from a bad race and there is value to be found.
Some will claim that the favourite, Mite Bite, offers value at a 4/1 with Betfair. It’s hard to argue with that even though Native River (9/2 with Marathonbet) and Our Duke (7/1 with Boylesports) are both real dangers.
The best bet of the lot, however, could be an each-way play on Road To Respect at 12/1 with Paddy Power.
Noel Meade’s seven-year-old has proven himself on differing ground conditions and has had what many believe to be the perfect route to the Gold Cup. He’s relatively under the radar and has a real chance not just of placing but of winning the big one.