Publish: 11.03.2016

Froch v Groves Boxing Betting Guide

Carl Froch faces George Groves in one of Britain’s biggest boxing events of the year this Saturday in Manchester.

Froch has already fought a huge bout against Mikkel Kessler in May and will be seen as the favorite going into this. His record of 31-2, with 22 KOs makes it easy to see why he is fancied. He can be backed at 2/7 with Betfred to come out on top.

Groves might be a lower key opponent than we are used to seeing against Froch, but the Londoner does have an excellent record of 19-0 with 15 KOs. Of course, Groves opponent’s have to be taken into consideration.

The 25-year-old defeated Alcoba, Barakat and Balmaceda in his last three bouts. These three aren’t as well known, or as well skilled, as Froch’s previous opponents. Not only that, Groves gives up three inches in height to Froch. I don’t see any value in Froch’s odds of 7/2 with BetVictor.

These odds aren’t long enough to tempt me, particularly if you consider that Groves most notable victory was against a ten-fight James Degale. Don’t get me wrong, Groves is a talented fighter but he has struggled in the past.

He dropped against domestic-level competition in Kenny Anderson and he also recently-split from his long term trainer Adam Booth. Booth is a fantastic trainer and it will be interesting to see how Groves adapts.

Groves best bet might be to fight to win this on decision. He is priced at 69/11 with Betfair to win that way. This might be as tough a task as Froch is well able to adapt as he proved against both Arthur Abraham and Kessler. Froch is priced at 7/2 with Totesport to win by decision.

One thing that is undeniable about Groves is that he carries a heavy punch. The Londoner is generously priced at 11/1 to end Froch’s night early with a KO.

Froch has stopped two in his three fights since his defeat against Andre Ward. He is priced at 8/11 to do the same here.

Froch has an interesting, and to some arrogant, habit of calling what round he’ll end a fight. He did this against Yusaf Mack and he did the same for this fight. On Monday Froch proclaimed that he would like this fight to go on between six and eight rounds. You can back his premonition with the group rounds market. If he ends it between the fifth and eight round, Sky Bet will pay out on odds of 10/3.

My best bet is for Groves to be more durable and last to the 9th. This is priced at 16/1 with Bet 365.