Ganton Stakes Betting Tips 17th June 2017

Publish: 13.12.2017

In Our Preview of the Ganton Stakes Sprint Cup We Provide the Key Information to Consider and Make Three Betting Predictions.

Top Betting Tip:

Dutch Connection to win at 7/2 with Paddy Power

Each-Way Betting Tip:

Gabrial each-way at 6/1 with William Hill

Betting Analysis

The fact that Dutch Connection is making an appearance at the Ganton Stakes is a major boon for the meeting’s organisers. This is a horse who has won at Group 2 level and was thought of highly enough by Godolphin to be entered in two Group 1s in France towards the end of last summer.

We’ve not seen Dutch Connection which is a little bit of a worry but his pedigree suggests that this could prove to be a relatively straight forward reintroduction ahead of even bigger tests as the summer goes on.

The 7/2 that Paddy Power are offering on Dutch Connection’s chances does look generous about Charlie Hills’ charge and we think he’s going to oblige favourite-backers on Saturday.

If Dutch Connection is stopped there will be a lot of people hoping that it’s by Gabrial.

The eight-year-old has come agonisingly close to winning several big races over the past couple of years but the Richard Fahey trained battler hasn’t won since the 2016 Midsummer Stakes at Winsor.

Connections will be hoping that the pace isn’t too steep on Saturday as Gabrial’s chances are stronger is this becomes more of a test of stamina than outright pace but at 6/1 with William Hill, he offers each-way appeal.

The flat racing season continues at a pace this weekend with quality meetings up and down the country. As we edge ever nearer to Royal Ascot there’s a very good opportunity to add some money to your betting balance with the Ganton Stakes at York.

The early betting shows there’s a clear favourite in the shape of Dutch Connection (more on him later) but there are other horses in with a chance of landing this prestigious listed race.

Race Details

The Ganton Stakes was first run only in 2012. That makes it a relatively young race but there have been some quality winners already.

Mutakayyef won last year’s renewal before going on to success at Ascot and it’s going to take a similarly impressive performance to come away with the win one year on.

The Ganton Stakes is run over one mile exactly and is open to horses aged three or over. The nature of the course at York and the race means that a combination of pace and stamina is needed to succeed and we’ve got horses with those attributes in spades for the 2017 renewal.

Past Five Winners

2016 – Mutakayyef, ridden by Pat Cosgrave, trained by William Haggas
2015 – Top Notch Tonto, ridden by Silvestre de Sousa, trained by Brian Ellison
2014 – Guest Of Honour, ridden by Martin Harley, trained by Marco Botti
2013 – Baltic Knight, ridden by Richard Hughes, trained by Richard Hannon, Sr.
2012 – Tullius, ridden by Jimmy Fortune, trained by Andrew Balding

Key Trends to Consider

In the five previous runnings of the Ganton Stakes there has never been a winner who went off at longer than 7/1. In fact, three of the five winners were the bookies favourite with the shortest priced being Tullius who won the very first running which had just three horses in the field.

The first two Ganton Stakes were won by younger horses but with three five-year-old winners in a row we should be favouring the more experienced horses in the betting.

We should also be favouring horses who have won at Listed level or higher before and who have previous winning form over at least a mile.

Interestingly, Mutakayyef was the first non-Irish bred winner of the Ganton Stakes.