Genesis Open Betting Tips – 15th February 2018
Ted Potter Jr. shocked everyone last week. The 24-year-old defied his odds of 500/1 to win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, getting himself a place in the Masters in the process.
The chances of another shock win are significantly smaller one week on as the PGA Tour heads to Riviera Country Club for the Genesis Open.
This is a top class tournament that has produced equally top class winners over the years. With the likes of Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth competing in the 2018 renewal, there’s every chance that the winner will be one of the world’s premier golfers once again.
Riviera to Take Its Fair Share of Victims Again
Riviera Country Club is a hugely well-regarded venue.
The 7,322 yard, classic layout stands out from the sort of wide open courses we’re used to seeing on the PGA Tour.
With its tree-lined fairways and well guarded greens, this is not a place where the big hitters have their usual advantage. Riviera is more about strategy, accuracy off the tee and world class approach play than bombing it 300 plus yards.
Although the rough is never that penal, anybody who misses the fairway will likely have their approach shot blocked out by trees or other hazards. That’s why we see a variety of clubs hit off the tee as players do everything they can to give themselves a chance of getting their ball close to the hole.
Fleetwood to Follow in Pieters’ Footsteps on Debut
The demanding nature of Riviera suggests that a certain amount of course experience is important. However, Thomas Pieters showed last year that anybody with the right tools has a chance even if it’s their first trip to the LA layout.
Pieters utilised his towering ball flight and a patient approach off the tee to finish second on his Genesis Open debut last year and we think Tommy Fleetwood can go even better on his debut.
Fleetwood has played the golf of his life over the last 18 months or so and little seems to faze him. The 27-year-old won the Race to Dubai last year and having challenged in WGCs, the next step is to start winning on the PGA Tour.
With excellent driving stats and some of the best ball striking in the game, Fleetwood looks well suited to Riviera. He still goes under the radar at these big PGA Tour events but can grab all the headlines on Sunday by winning at 30/1 with Betfair.
Mickelson and Watson to Make a Case for Experience
Although first timers can do well at Riviera, there’s absolutely nothing wrong with a bit of experience. Just ask Phil Mickelson and Bubba Watson, both of whom are two-time winners of the Genesis Open.
Mickelson won in 2008 before defending in 2009 and returns to Riviera on the back of two top five finishes. He’s talking very positively about his game and finally looks ready to win again on the PGA Tour after struggling badly off the tee.
Mickelson will have to fashion some outrageous recovery shots at times but he’s up to the task and warrants each-way support at 25/1 with Ladbrokes.
Watson is another player whose wayward driving forces him to manufacture wild slices and hooks just to get his ball back in play. But, like Mickelson, he’s another whose game seems to be returning.
He’ll relish the return to Riviera and can grab a top 10 finish at 4/1 with Coral.