George Groves v Chris Eubank Jr Betting Tips – 17th February 2018
The World Boxing Super Series has breathed new life into both the cruiserweight and super middleweight divisions.
There’s always a certain amount of risk that comes with the creation of a new tournament but boxing fans have taken to the format instantly.
Of course, it helps that the boxers in both tournaments are high class and the super middleweight division is especially interesting to British boxing fans.
Callum Smith is the clear favourite to win his semi-final against Jürgen Brähmer but it’s much closer in Saturday’s mouth-watering contest between George Groves and Chris Eubank Jr.
Groves the Value Bet in This Tight Bout
Having finally achieved his ambition of becoming a world champion, George Groves went into the World Boxing Super Series as the number one seed in the super middleweight division.
The Hammersmith fighter believes that he is the best super middleweight in the world and this is his chance to back his words up.
It’s Chris Eubank Jr, however, who goes into Saturday’s fight as the favourite with the bookies.
Eubank Jr has only lost once in his professional career. His split decision defeat by Billy Joe Saunders back in 2014 knocked Eubank’s confidence and it’s arguably taken him until his recent victory over Arthur Abraham to recover his reputation.
Eubank Jr should be commended for getting his head down and putting the work in after that loss but there is a chance that he will suffer the same fate against Groves.
Against Saunders, Eubank Jr looked tentative, nervous even, in the early rounds. He’s a fighter who makes a big deal about his conditioning and the fact that he can finish strongly but his desire to keep something in reserve could hurt him against Groves.
He’s also going to be significantly lighter than Groves and has been walking around at below the 168 lb limit for months.
Groves is known as a fighter who starts strongly. He knocked out Jamie Cox in the fourth rounds of his quarter-final and rocked Carl Froch in the first round of their first fight.
Some claim Groves’ early aggression costs him in the latter stages but he’s been 12 rounds six times in his career, losing just one of those fights.
Another fast start from Groves will likely see him take the lead on the judges’ scorecards. That will force the issue for Eubank Jr who’ll have to take more risks the longer the fight goes on which is a very risky position to be in as Groves is the bigger man and arguably the heavier puncher.
Eubank Jr may be the odds-on favourite but it’s Groves who looks the best value at 17/11 with Marathonbet.
Take a Chance on Late Fireworks
Chris Eubank Jr has claimed in the lead up that the fight won’t go the distance. His belief is that his ability to land combinations and get on the inside of Groves will wear the defending WBA super middleweight champion down.
Eubank Jr may be correct in his prediction of a knockout, he might just have picked the wrong winner.
After a strong start, Groves will likely keep his distance by utilising his effective jab in the middle rounds. It’s when Eubank Jr steps up the work rate in the later rounds that Groves can counter with power punches.
Try and make the most of this by betting on over 9.5 rounds at 4/6 with Ladbrokes and then taking a risk by backing Groves to win in the 11th round at 40/1 with Coral.