Georgia v Wales Betting Tips
Two into one does not go. Now that Serbia have guaranteed at least second place in Group D of UEFA World Cup qualifying the writing is on the wall for either Wales or the Republic of Ireland. Only one of them can book their place in Russia and Wales will be looking to make Ireland’s task all the tougher by doing what they’ve never done before – beat Georgia in a competitive fixture.
Another Draw Not Enough for Wales
Chris Coleman will doubtless count himself a little unlucky. The Wales manager has seen his team avoid defeat in their eight Group D games and yet their place in the World Cup is anything but assured.
Serbia are four points ahead of Wales with just two games to go as a series of draws have cost Coleman’s side dearly. In total, they’ve drawn five of their eight games, including a desperately disappointing 1-1 with Georgia when the two met at the Cardiff City Stadium a year ago.
Those dropped points don’t only mean that Wales must rely on the playoffs to book their place at the World Cup, they could cost them their place of even making it to that stage.
Only eight of the nine second-placed teams from the UEFA qualifying groups will progress to the playoffs and Wales currently have the joint lowest total of points with Bosnia and Herzegovina on 14.
That means Coleman cannot rely on another point, his team must pick up all three against Georgia. Unfortunately he’s dealing with injury problems, especially with the news that Gareth Bale will miss both of Wales’ final two qualifying games.
With Ireland waiting in the final game of qualifying, Coleman will be loathed to take a risk with any of his best players which opens up the possibility of another stalemate.
Do Wales really represent value for the win at odds-on? We don’t think so and therefore recommend backing the draw at 11/4 with Betfair.
Gareth Bale ruled out of Wales World Cup qualifiers against Georgia & Ireland.— Coral (@Coral) October 3, 2017
Huge blow! pic.twitter.com/jts7zGt72j
Georgia Primed to Frustrate Wales Again
Wales were the heavy odds-on favourites to beat Georgia a year ago as well but found their stubborn opponents incredibly difficult to break down. That result went against the odds but with the history of these two sides.
In their three competitive meetings, Wales have scored just twice against Georgia and they could be in for another frustrating night in front of goal on Friday.
Georgia are winless in Group D but have only been beaten by more than one goal once so far in qualifying. There is a lot of improvement needed before Kakhaber Tskhadadze’s men have a chance of playing in a major international tournament but they’re happy enough to be competitive for the time being.
Wales have only scored more than one goal in three of their qualifying matches and two of those came against whipping boys Moldova. They are not a team full of goals which makes a bet on under 2.5 goals look a safe one at 3/5 with Marathonbet.
For a bigger risk/reward option, take the 13/2 that William Hill are quoting on the 1-1 correct score.
Who Will Step Up in Bale’s Absence?
Chris Coleman has always been at pains to point out that his team is much more than just one player. However, there is no doubt that Wales are a very different proposition when Gareth Bale is fit and firing.
Coleman must make do without his talisman which means somebody else has to step up. Is it too early for Ben Woodburn? Can Hal Robson-Kanu repeat his goalscoring heroics of the Euros? Perhaps Aaron Ramsey will relish being the main man for his country?
Coleman needs big performances from each of those players but the value option to score for Wales is Sam Vokes at 2/1 with Betway.
Vokes hasn’t scored since the opening game of the season but his power and physicality up front will make him the focal point for Wales’ attacks from where he is more than capable of bagging a big goal in Georgia.