Irish Derby Betting Offers and Tips – 1st July 2017

Publish: 19.06.2018

It’s safe to say that this year’s Epsom Derby didn’t exactly follow the script. The 10 previous renewals of the British Classic saw the winner come from the top three in the betting so it was a real shock to see Wings Of Eagles win at 40/1.

In Derby terms that make the Aidan O’Brien trained horse a rank outsider but just a few weeks on and Wings Of Eagles is the favourite for the Irish Derby.

Will he go on to prove his class or does his favourite status simply provide better odds for the rest of the horses in the race?

Top Betting Tips:

Cracksman to win at 11/4 with Paddy Power

Waldgeist to win at 7/2 with Ladbrokes

Venice Beach each-way at 20/1 with Boylesports

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Betting Analysis

It certainly looks tough for Wings Of Eagles but the main positive is that Ballydoyle have so many horses in the field they can ensure he gets the quick pace he prefers even if the expected cut in the ground will make that a little tougher.

That said, it’s still a little difficult to make a case for him at the best price of 9/4 with Coral.

If you do fancy a bet on the Epsom Derby winner it could be the perfect chance to make the most of one of the free bet offers that we’ve collected for you on our homepage. Otherwise, it’s worth hunting for some better value.

The first place to turn is Cracksman for John Gosden at 11/4 with Paddy Power.

He went off as favourite in the Derby and although his backers were disappointed to see him finish third he did at least answer questions about his stamina and beat some quality horses.

Cracksman is still lightly raced and should improve for another race. With Gosden’s excellent record in Ireland, Cracksman looks set to reverse the result at Epsom and beat Wings Of Eagles.

The obvious main concern with Cracksman is that he won’t improve on the day in the way that many people believe and hope he will.

Therefore, it makes sense to have another win option and in Waldgeist we’ve got a top quality one at best odds of 7/2 with Ladbrokes.

The French horse had a lot of ante post backers for the Derby but he had a go at the Prix du Jockey Club instead. He was beaten by a short head by Brametot that day which is no disgrace at all.

With conditions looking ideal, that 7/2 looks well worth snapping up while it lasts.

Irish Derby 2016

Irish Derby 2016

Those two horses look very well placed to serve it up to Wings Of Eagles but it’s always worth having a longer odds each-way bet and for that we like Venice Beach at 20/1 with Boylesports.

It was obvious Venice Beach couldn’t get to grips with the track at Epsom. New surroundings and more experience should help this promising horse get back to the sort of form he showed when beating Wings Of Eagles in May.

 

Past Five Winners

2016 – Harand, ridden by Pat Smullen, trained by Dermot Weld
2015 – Jack Hobbs, ridden by William Buick, trained by John Gosden
2014 – Australia, ridden by Joseph O’Brien, trained by Aidan O’Brien
2013 – Trading Leather, ridden by Kevin Manning, trained by Jim Bolger
2012 – Camelot, ridden by Joseph O’Brien, trained by Aidan O’Brien

Key Trends to Consider

Aidan O’Brien has won the Irish Derby 10 times including in two of the last three years and he’s got several entrants worthy of consideration for Saturday’s renewal.

Much like the equivalent race at Epsom, favourites have a good record in the Irish Derby. Four of the last five favourites have obliged punters with each of those winners going off at odds-on.

The nature of Wings Of Eagles’ win means that this year’s favourite is odds-against across the board. It’s worth noting that the last such winner was Dylan Thomas in 2006.

Of more worry for Wings Of Eagles backers is that he’d become just the third horse in 15 renewals to win the Irish Derby with fewer than three previous wins.

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