Liverpool v Hoffenheim Betting Tips

Publish: 21.09.2018

Jurgen Klopp was under no illusions how well his Liverpool team would have to play to get a positive result away to Hoffenheim. Thankfully for all Reds fans, their team was up to the challenge.

There was a bit of luck along the way in the first leg with Andrej Kramaric’s poor penalty miss and an own goal but Liverpool’s 2-1 win gives them a great chance of qualifying for the Champions League group stage.

Liverpool must now maintain those levels during the second leg at Anfield because this Hoffenheim side are no pushovers.

Top Betting Tips

Liverpool to win at 4/6 with Coral

Both teams to score at 4/7 with Sportingbet

Over 3.5 goals at 11/8 with Paddy Power

Roberto Firmino to score first at 17/4 with BetVictor

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Betting Analysis

Roberto Firmino to score first at 17/4 with BetVictor

Roberto Firmino to score first at 17/4 with BetVictor

The two goals that Liverpool scored in Germany make them the firmest of favourites in the betting to qualify for the Champions League. The Reds are as short as 1/20 with some bookies which clearly doesn’t represent value but their odds of 4/6 to win the match with Coral may well do.

Hoffenheim have improved incredibly under 30-year-old manager, Julian Nagelsmann. Their fourth place finish in the Bundesliga last season was their best ever and they still have plenty of confidence from last season.

However, Liverpool are a very tough opposition at home and Klopp was able to rest some of his first choice players for the weekend’s 1-0 win over Crystal Palace.

Liverpool aren’t going to give up their Champions League ambitions easily so back them to win the second leg.

While Liverpool have played some world class attacking football since Klopp took over at the club, their defending has left a lot to be desired.

The likes of Serge Gnabry, Sandro Wagner, and Andrej Kramaric will create chances for Hoffenheim and we think Liverpool will have to score more than once to win the game.

So, make that you have a bet on both teams to score at 4/7 with Sportingbet and on over 3.5 goals at 11/8 with Paddy Power.

Roberto Firmino knows more about Hoffenheim’s rise from village team to potential Champions League participants than any of his teammates. The Brazilian played 140 times for the German side before joining Liverpool and while he is held in high regard by the Hoffenheim fans, he could break their hearts on Wednesday night.

Firmino has transitioned to an out-and-out striker for Liverpool over the course of last season and his prowess in front of goal makes him a solid first goalscorer betting option at 17/4 with BetVictor.

Key Battles

Both Jurgen Klopp and Julian Nagelsmann like their teams to play a high tempo style of football with pressing at the very heart of everything they do.

There are differences in the way that both teams press (Liverpool win the ball primarily by tackling the opposition while Hoffenheim relies mainly on interceptions) but the similarities between them should provide the neutrals with a thoroughly entertaining match.

The two managers will be at pains to point out to their players the importance of being clinical on the ball. Any dilly-dallying will be pounced upon in a heartbeat so the team who makes best use of possession will have a distinct advantage.

The major difference between the two teams is the formation they set up with.

Klopp has remained steadfast in his use of a flat back four whereas Nagelsmann prefers to play with three at the back to try and get more players into attacking positions. It will be interesting to see which defensive formation copes best with the opponents’ front three.

Match Stats

  • The qualifying playoff against Liverpool is Hoffenheim’s first taste of Champions League football
  • Liverpool’s 2-1 win in Germany makes it seven games unbeaten against German opposition
  • Victory in the tie would take Liverpool into the Champions League group stage for the first time since the 2014/15 season
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last nine European fixtures at home

Predicted Line-Up

Liverpool – Mignolet; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Lovren, Robertson; Can, Henderson, Wijnaldum; Salah, Manè, Firmino

Hoffenheim – Baumann; Hübner, Vogt, Nordveit; Zuber, Demirbay, Rupp, Kaderàbek; Kramaric, Gnabry, Wagner

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