Man City v Liverpool Betting Tips

Publish: 09.05.2017

If Manchester City are to win the title this season they’ll have to continually prove themselves against the Premier League’s best teams.

That’s been an area in which City have let themselves down in recent seasons, just take their record against Liverpool. The Citizens haven’t beaten Liverpool in any of their last five league meetings but they have a chance to change that when the two teams meet at the Etihad early on Saturday afternoon.

Liverpool will be buoyed by their recent record against Man City but also by their dealings in the transfer window. Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain became the latest addition, joining from Arsenal on deadline day, to add yet more class to Jurgen Klopp’s squad.

Top Betting Tips

Man City to win at 9/10 with Betfred

Both teams to score at 8/15 with Sportingbet

Over 3.5 goals at 5/4 with Paddy Power

Man City to score in both halves at 11/8 with William Hill

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Betting Analysis

If Pep Guardiola thought that his second season in the Premier League was going to be any easier he’s already had to change his mind.

On the face of it seven points from their opening three league games is a good return but Man City have had to fight incredibly hard in each of those matches. The same will be true on Saturday if City are to beat Liverpool.

Liverpool have the same seven point tally but they’ve found things a little easier, especially last time out when they put Arsenal to the sword, winning 4-0.

Although Guardiola would have hoped for an easier ride, being pushed to the limit so early in the season could be just what they need.

Man City have plenty still to prove but their attacking talent and strong home form makes them look worthy favourites against Liverpool at a best price of 9/10 with Betfred.

Liverpool also have some world class attacking players and while we think they will just fall short, we’re expecting a thrilling affair. So, make sure to bet on both teams to score at 8/15 with Sportingbet and over 3.5 goals which is 5/4 with Paddy Power.

Given that Man City have their work cut out to get the win and overturn their poor recent record against Liverpool, it’s clear that they won’t be able to take their foot off the gas. You can capitalise on an all action performance by betting on City scoring in both halves at 11/8 with William Hill.

Sergio Aguero was unhappy to be left on the bench against Bournemouth but the Argentine may well have to play second fiddle to Gabriel Jesus once again on Saturday.

Gabriel Jesus

Gabriel Jesus

Guardiola doesn’t seem convinced about playing two up front and Jesus is his favoured option so back the Brazilian to score first at 18/5 with 888Sport.

Key Battles

While Jurgen Klopp has stuck rigidly with playing four at the back, Pep Guardiola has been much more experimental with the way he sets out his defence.

In the first two games of the season he tinkered with his formation to try and get the best out of both Sergio Aguero and Gabriel Jesus but it looks as though he is going to prefer one or the other up front on their own for much of the season to come.

That means City are likely to stick with the 4-3-3 formation they employed against Bournemouth. It’s a very similar shape to the one that Liverpool use and should set up a fascinating match.

While City will believe they’ve got the edge in terms of ball players in the middle of the park, Liverpool will be content to rely on the pace they have out wide so expect big games from Sadio Mané and Mohamed Salah.

Mohamed Salah on fire.

Mohamed Salah on fire.

Raheem Sterling will similarly look to exploit his own pace against his old team while the movement and work rate of Gabriel Jesus should ensure the Liverpool back line rarely have a moment’s rest.

Match Stats

  • Liverpool have won four of their last five Premier League meetings with Man City
  • Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in six of their last seven league games but Man City have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight
  • Man City’s 1-1 draw with Everton made it 13 league games unbeaten at the Etihad
  • Liverpool’s three Premier League games have averaged over 3.5 goals
  • There has only been one draw in the last eight league meetings between Man City and Liverpool

Predicted Line-Up

Man City – Ederson; Kompany, Otamendi, Danilo, Mendy; Fernandinho, David Silva, De Bruyne; Sterling, Sané, Jesus

Liverpool – Mignolet; Lovren, Matip, Robertson, Gomez; Henderson, Can, Wijnaldum; Mané, Salah, Firmino

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