THE BOOKIES OFFERS BETTING BLOG
The Queen Mother Champion Chase Betting Preview
The Queen Mother Champion Chase, sponsored by Bet Victor, is the highlight of the second day of Cheltenham and one of the biggest races of the week. This is a race that is run over 2m and 2f.
This year’s race looks much trickier than the last, mainly because the two clear favourites both have questions to answer coming in to the race. Whilst Sprinter Sacre is racing in a hope of retaining his crown, clear second favourite Sire de Grugy has struggled with this course.
Sprinter Sacre will be racing off of a is the obvious favourite and the best price you can hope for there is 1/1 (2.00), with most bookmakers starting to drop as low as 1.80 under all the backing.
Sire de Grugy has ran twice on this course and lost on both occasions. He did finish second on both occasions though, throwing away a lead on the final gallop.
Sprinter Sacre was pulled up after little more than a mile in his last outing, with the trainer reporting heart irregularities. That’s pretty much the only mile the horse has run in nearly a year, and although we have assurances that Sacre is perfectly healthy now, it makes you think twice about touching such a poor betting price.
When we look at the form trends from previous years, only once in 24 attempts has a horse with form lower than 165 won the race. You’d expect all the Novice Chasers to struggle in this event, whilst the form shows only Sprinter Sacre and Sire de Grugy enter the race with a rating better than 165.
Sire de Grugy offered great value when opening as a 16/1 outsider, but 11/4 is a far less valuable price as wise punters have sunk their betting claws in to the horse over the past four weeks.
It’s such a tough betting decision given the question marks over the above mentioned market leaders, and one way to tackle it could be to spread your money out in several each way bets on outside horses.
However, if those two are in form, it’s a non-contest because there simply isn’t the talent to compete with them.
Al Ferrof was originally set to race the Gold Cup, but recent disappointing performances will mean we’ll probably see him in the Champion Chase. His form suggests he’s the best of the rest coming in, and he has proven ability over this distance.
Our bets are as follows:
As our outsider you can consider Al Feroff at 16/1 with Bet Victor. You can use the options of no runner non-bet or each-way on this selection.
We’re also going to be slightly muggy, but I do feel these two will bring their best, and could guarantee a break-even result at worst.
You could consider backing both Sprinter Sacre at 1/1 (2.00) with Betfair, and second favourite Sire de Grugy at 11/4 (3.75) with Betfair also. If you don’t want to do that, then consider the latter as your main bet.