Tottenham v Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips

Publish: 09.11.2017

Possession is one of the most discussed statistics in football. It is often used as a measure of one team’s dominance over another in a match but possession is far from a solid indicator of which team goes on to win the game.

Just look at Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund.

Spurs had less possession than Everton during their match on Saturday but ended as the very comfortable 3-0 winners. On the flip side, Dortmund had over 80% of the ball in their weekend Bundesliga game but had to settle for a 0-0 draw against Freiburg.

Dortmund will likely see most of the ball when they take on Tottenham at Wembley Stadium on Wednesday night but will that be enough for them to get off to a winning start in the Champions League?

Top Betting Tips

1-1 correct score at 13/2 with BetVictor

Goal in both halves at 4/6 with Coral

Christian Eriksen to score at 5/2 with William Hill

Betting Analysis

Tottenham were very much second best when they came up against Dortmund in the Europa League in 2016. Mauricio Pochettino has largely the same squad to choose from for Wednesday’s match as he did that night but a little over a year down the line and there is little argument that Spurs are a tougher proposition.

The only problem for Spurs is their horrible record at Wembley. They suffered from playing at the national stadium in Europe last season and exited the Champions League at the group stage.

Christian Eriksen to score at 5/2 with William Hill

Christian Eriksen to score at 5/2 with William Hill

This season Tottenham have just one point from their two league games at their temporary home and it is sure to be another challenging night against this quality Dortmund outfit.

This is a big game for both sides given that they are effectively playing for one qualifying place given that two-time defending champions, Real Madrid, are also in Group H. Three points would be massive for either side but we think they’ll have to settle for one and recommend backing the draw at 13/5 with Sky Bet.

These are two very exciting sides going forwards but given the importance of this match we could be in for a more cagey match than the neutrals will be hoping for. Therefore, a bet on the 1-1 correct score could well pay off at 13/2 with BetVictor.

Another way of profiting from a tight game in which both teams possess a strong attacking threat is by betting on there being a goal in both halves at 4/6 with Coral.

Dortmund have long been a team who look to take the game to their opposition and that is not going to change under new manager, Peter Bosz.

However, Bosz cannot afford to make any plans for the Tottenham attack. Spurs have several potential match winners and in the absence of Dele Alli, Christian Eriksen has the chance to shine at Wembley.

Key Battles

Tottenham have several eye catching players going forwards but under Mauricio Pochettino they have improved in defence as much as any other part of the pitch.

It won’t be easy for Dortmund to break through Spurs’ back three even if the away side have the majority of possession.

Normally, a game which is as well matched as this one would come down to the midfield battle but with Spurs relatively happy to sit off the Dortmund playmakers in order to limit the space available to their forwards, the outcome could be decided by which set of attacking players arrive in the deadliest form.

It’s also going to be a big game for both goalkeepers who must maintain high levels of concentration with two sides capable of creating chances out of nothing.

Match Stats

  • Tottenham and Dortmund have met just once, their Europa League round of 16 tie ended 5-1 on aggregate to Dortmund
  • Dortmund’s Champions League pedigree includes a run to the final in 2013 while this is Spurs’ third time in the group stage of the competition
  • Tottenham won just one of their four European games at Wembley last season
  • Dele Alli will miss the game through suspension for Tottenham while Dortmund are without Andre Schürrle, Marco Reus and Raphael Guerreiro through injury

Predicted Line-Up

Tottenham – Lloris; Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Sánchez; Dier, Dembele, Trippier, Aurier; Heung-Min, Eriksen; Kane

Borussia Dortmund – Weidenfeller; Sokratis, Toprak, Zagadou, Piszczek; Castro, Sahin, Götze; Pulisic, Kagawa, Aubameyang

The Danish international is maturing into a world class talent and he looks a good bet to score any time at 5/2 with William Hill.