There are some big games in the NBA on Wednesday night, including the Grizzlies and the Cavaliers squaring off. However, none is as interesting as Oklahoma’s trip to San Antonio. The Spurs are wedged firmly in the playoffs, whilst OKC – a team with the talent to win it all – are in danger of missing the boat completely.
Season long injuries to Durant and injuries in part to Westbrook, Ibaka and Kanter have cost the Thunder their shot at winning the west or securing a home court advantage. This is a team with all the ability and depth of a clear championship winner, yet they may not even make the playoffs.
The Thunder are currently 41-30 which is far from disappointing when you consider their situation, but pre-season, you’d never have convinced anyone they’d have that sort of record in the month of March.
On the other side of you court you have the San Antonio Spurs. They’re 44-26 and that’s without any injury concerns. Last years defending Champions have been pedestrian at times, and they’ve rested key players regularly.
They’ve gone 7-3SU in their last 10, with one loss coming on a players rest day and the other to an improbable superstar showing from Kyrie Irving, who scored 57 points to sink them in overtime.
The Thunder find themselves as winners of six of seven despite Durant’s absence, and Westbrook continues to shoulder the load, scoring 27 points in a double digit victory over the Lakers just last night.
Despite sitting a comfortable second in their division, seven sides in the Western Conference have a better record than the Thunder. Four of those sides belong in the particularly dangerous Southwest division, where their opponent the Spurs currently sits third.
The Thunder will have easy games to come than this, whilst they do have a three-point cushion over the Suns. Given their current form, I imagine the Thunder will want to go all out and give 110% this evening to get the job done and dusted. If they pick up just one more win, it’s realistically lights out for Phoenix back in the ninth spot.
The Thunder won the previous meeting between the sides this season and have covered the last six spreads on the road. They’re on a roll, and that roll carries over to the head to head meetings, where OKC have won six and covered six of the last 10 meetings.
The Spurs are just 15-17ATS at home, but OKC are 14-20ATS away. They’re both on an ATS roll, but I wonder if this number is too big due to the fact Durant is out. I feel the Thunder have been overvalued for so long, and now they’re finally being undervalued just because they’re at the home of the champs.
I think this is a tough call on the spread but OKC played a barn-burner last night. The Spurs played a tough under, but the Over/Under is 20-14 for them at home, and 19-16 for OKC away.
It’s an even 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, but I just feel no number posted is going to be high enough this evening.
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